tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Lihue via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:30 LAS → 14:14 SEA
    AS 785 · Alaska · 2h 44m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:13 SEA → 21:25 LIH
    AS 237 · Alaska · 6h 12m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 12h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 194 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip12h 55mLAS 11:30 to LIH 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.