tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 59%

  1. 07:03 BWI → 09:53 SEA
    AS 786 · Alaska · 5h 50m · 82% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:08 SEA → 13:20 SJC
    AS 335 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 69% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip9h 17mBWI 07:03 to SJC 13:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.