tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Kansas City via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 14:20 SFO → 16:31 SEA
    AS 790 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:27 SEA → 23:59 MCI
    AS 564 · Alaska · 3h 32m · 77% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 39mSFO 14:20 to MCI 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.