tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 88%

  1. 14:20 SFO → 16:31 SEA
    AS 790 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:35 SEA → 22:30 SNA
    DL 3932 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 10mSFO 14:20 to SNA 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.