tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Medford via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 14:20 SFO → 16:31 SEA
    AS 790 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:47 SEA → 19:13 MFR
    AS 2037 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 26m · 86% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 53mSFO 14:20 to MFR 19:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.