tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Boise via Seattle: arrives on time 63%

  1. 14:20 SFO → 16:31 SEA
    AS 790 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 SEA → 20:07 BOI
    AS 2109 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 27m · 82% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 47mSFO 14:20 to BOI 20:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.