tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Missoula via Seattle: arrives on time 77%

  1. 14:20 SFO → 16:31 SEA
    AS 790 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 SEA → 22:55 MSO
    AS 2154 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 25m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 194 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 35mSFO 14:20 to MSO 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.