tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Lihue via Seattle: arrives on time 55%

  1. 08:03 SMF → 10:09 SEA
    AS 795 · Alaska · 2h 06m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:28 SEA → 14:40 LIH
    AS 258 · Alaska · 6h 12m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip9h 37mSMF 08:03 to LIH 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.