tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Dallas-Fort Worth via Seattle: arrives on time 40%

  1. 08:03 SMF → 10:09 SEA
    AS 795 · Alaska · 2h 06m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:59 SEA → 17:00 DFW
    AS 341 · Alaska · 4h 01m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 57mSMF 08:03 to DFW 17:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.