tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Kailua/Kona via Seattle: arrives on time 76%

  1. 10:00 LAX → 12:48 SEA
    AS 798 · Alaska · 2h 48m · 88% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:59 SEA → 19:05 KOA
    AS 238 · Alaska · 6h 06m · 77% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 12h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip12h 05mLAX 10:00 to KOA 19:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.