tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Missoula via Seattle: arrives on time 66%

  1. 10:00 LAX → 12:48 SEA
    AS 798 · Alaska · 2h 48m · 88% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:38 SEA → 16:09 MSO
    AS 697 · Alaska · 1h 31m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 09mLAX 10:00 to MSO 16:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.