tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 59%

  1. 07:00 LAX → 09:54 HNL
    AS 801 · Alaska · 5h 54m · 83% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:44 HNL → 11:26 LIH
    AS 1053 · Alaska · 42m · 85% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 26mLAX 07:00 to LIH 11:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.