tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:00 LAX → 09:54 HNL
    AS 801 · Alaska · 5h 54m · 83% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:15 HNL → 13:58 LIH
    AS 1073 · Alaska · 43m · 62% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip9h 58mLAX 07:00 to LIH 13:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.