tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 18%

  1. 13:10 HNL → 21:32 LAX
    AS 802 · Alaska · 5h 22m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:27 LAX → 23:57 SFO
    AS 3067 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 36% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip7h 47mHNL 13:10 to SFO 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.