tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 27%

  1. 10:05 LAX → 12:58 HNL
    AS 803 · Alaska · 5h 53m · 54% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:47 HNL → 14:31 LIH
    AS 1083 · Alaska · 44m · 68% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 26mLAX 10:05 to LIH 14:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.