tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 58%

  1. 10:05 LAX → 12:58 HNL
    AS 803 · Alaska · 5h 53m · 54% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 HNL → 16:16 OGG
    AS 1136 · Alaska · 41m · 65% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip9h 11mLAX 10:05 to OGG 16:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.