tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 75%

  1. 20:39 HNL → 05:00 LAX
    AS 804 · Alaska · 5h 21m · 79% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:00 LAX → 07:22 SFO +1 day
    AS 1625 · Alaska · 1h 22m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip7h 43mHNL 20:39 to SFO 07:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.