tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 57%

  1. 10:05 LAS → 13:29 HNL
    AS 807 · Alaska · 6h 24m · 65% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 HNL → 16:16 OGG
    AS 1136 · Alaska · 41m · 65% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip9h 11mLAS 10:05 to OGG 16:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.