tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 73%

  1. 10:05 LAS → 13:29 HNL
    AS 807 · Alaska · 6h 24m · 65% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 39m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:08 HNL → 18:49 LIH
    AS 1143 · Alaska · 41m · 75% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 11h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 234 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 39m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip11h 44mLAS 10:05 to LIH 18:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.