tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:05 LAS → 13:29 HNL
    AS 807 · Alaska · 6h 24m · 65% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:33 HNL → 17:19 KOA
    AS 1148 · Alaska · 46m · 79% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip10h 14mLAS 10:05 to KOA 17:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.