tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 86%

  1. 10:05 LAS → 13:29 HNL
    AS 807 · Alaska · 6h 24m · 65% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:15 HNL → 18:05 KOA
    WN 1911 · Southwest · 50m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip11h 00mLAS 10:05 to KOA 18:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.