tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 63%

  1. 08:30 SFO → 11:10 HNL
    AS 811 · Alaska · 5h 40m · 68% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:47 HNL → 14:31 LIH
    AS 1083 · Alaska · 44m · 68% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip9h 01mSFO 08:30 to LIH 14:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.