tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 57%

  1. 08:30 SFO → 11:10 HNL
    AS 811 · Alaska · 5h 40m · 68% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:31 HNL → 13:15 OGG
    AS 1106 · Alaska · 44m · 70% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 45mSFO 08:30 to OGG 13:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.