tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 72%

  1. 08:30 SFO → 11:10 HNL
    AS 811 · Alaska · 5h 40m · 68% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 4h 04m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:14 HNL → 16:01 KOA
    AS 1138 · Alaska · 47m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 199 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 04m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip10h 31mSFO 08:30 to KOA 16:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.