tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 38%

  1. 10:30 PDX → 13:28 HNL
    AS 813 · Alaska · 5h 58m · 60% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:24 HNL → 15:08 OGG
    AS 1126 · Alaska · 44m · 72% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 38mPDX 10:30 to OGG 15:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.