tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 32%

  1. 09:07 SAN → 12:18 HNL
    AS 815 · Alaska · 6h 11m · 59% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:15 HNL → 13:58 LIH
    AS 1073 · Alaska · 43m · 62% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 51mSAN 09:07 to LIH 13:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.