tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 36%

  1. 09:07 SAN → 12:18 HNL
    AS 815 · Alaska · 6h 11m · 59% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:14 HNL → 14:02 KOA
    AS 1108 · Alaska · 48m · 74% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 55mSAN 09:07 to KOA 14:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.