tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 90%

  1. 01:55 LAS → 05:16 HNL
    AS 817 · Alaska · 6h 21m · 87% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 46m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:02 HNL → 08:43 OGG
    AS 1046 · Alaska · 41m · 95% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 46m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip9h 48mLAS 01:55 to OGG 08:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.