tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 59%

  1. 07:45 SMF → 10:27 HNL
    AS 819 · Alaska · 5h 42m · 78% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:15 HNL → 13:58 LIH
    AS 1073 · Alaska · 43m · 62% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip9h 13mSMF 07:45 to LIH 13:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.