tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:45 SMF → 10:27 HNL
    AS 819 · Alaska · 5h 42m · 78% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:14 HNL → 14:02 KOA
    AS 1108 · Alaska · 48m · 74% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip9h 17mSMF 07:45 to KOA 14:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.