tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 95%

  1. 07:45 SMF → 10:27 HNL
    AS 819 · Alaska · 5h 42m · 78% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:00 HNL → 14:50 OGG
    WN 1931 · Southwest · 50m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip10h 05mSMF 07:45 to OGG 14:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.