tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:00 ANC → 10:35 SEA
    AS 82 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:50 SEA → 14:57 PHX
    AS 1371 · Alaska · 3h 07m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 57mANC 06:00 to PHX 14:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.