tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:00 ANC → 10:35 SEA
    AS 82 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 SEA → 14:55 FAI
    AS 1507 · Alaska · 3h 55m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 55mANC 06:00 to FAI 14:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.