tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 ANC → 10:35 SEA
    AS 82 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 09m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:44 SEA → 16:45 PHX
    AS 700 · Alaska · 3h 01m · 81% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 09m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 45mANC 06:00 to PHX 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.