tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 59%

  1. 08:00 SEA → 11:08 HNL
    AS 821 · Alaska · 6h 08m · 72% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:15 HNL → 13:58 LIH
    AS 1073 · Alaska · 43m · 62% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip8h 58mSEA 08:00 to LIH 13:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.