tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:00 SEA → 11:08 HNL
    AS 821 · Alaska · 6h 08m · 72% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:47 HNL → 14:31 LIH
    AS 1083 · Alaska · 44m · 68% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip9h 31mSEA 08:00 to LIH 14:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.