tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 62%

  1. 08:00 SEA → 11:08 HNL
    AS 821 · Alaska · 6h 08m · 72% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 HNL → 13:13 KOA
    AS 1098 · Alaska · 48m · 74% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 13mSEA 08:00 to KOA 13:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.