tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 12:50 HNL → 21:34 SEA
    AS 822 · Alaska · 5h 44m · 56% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 SEA → 02:40 ANC +1 day
    AS 1363 · Alaska · 3h 41m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 2 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip11h 50mHNL 12:50 to ANC 02:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.