tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:50 HNL → 21:34 SEA
    AS 822 · Alaska · 5h 44m · 56% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:15 SEA → 07:38 JFK +1 day
    AS 22 · Alaska · 5h 23m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 12h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 6 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip12h 48mHNL 12:50 to JFK 07:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.