tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Houston via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 12:50 HNL → 21:34 SEA
    AS 822 · Alaska · 5h 44m · 56% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:57 SEA → 06:20 IAH +1 day
    AS 398 · Alaska · 4h 23m · 82% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 12h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 5 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip12h 30mHNL 12:50 to IAH 06:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.