tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 63%

  1. 08:10 PHX → 11:53 HNL
    AS 835 · Alaska · 6h 43m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 28m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:21 HNL → 17:02 LIH
    AS 1113 · Alaska · 41m · 68% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 11h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 223 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 28m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip11h 52mPHX 08:10 to LIH 17:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.