tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 70%

  1. 08:10 PHX → 11:53 HNL
    AS 835 · Alaska · 6h 43m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 17m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:10 HNL → 16:58 KOA
    AS 1128 · Alaska · 49m · 72% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 11h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 212 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 17m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip11h 49mPHX 08:10 to KOA 16:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.