tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 89%

  1. 08:10 PHX → 11:53 HNL
    AS 835 · Alaska · 6h 43m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:50 HNL → 16:35 OGG
    WN 1932 · Southwest · 45m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip11h 25mPHX 08:10 to OGG 16:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.