tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 35%

  1. 17:32 PDX → 20:24 HNL
    AS 841 · Alaska · 5h 52m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:18 HNL → 21:59 LIH
    AS 1173 · Alaska · 41m · 79% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 27mPDX 17:32 to LIH 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.