tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 62%

  1. 08:25 OAK → 10:59 HNL
    AS 847 · Alaska · 5h 34m · 87% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 HNL → 15:38 LIH
    AS 1093 · Alaska · 43m · 64% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 191 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip10h 13mOAK 08:25 to LIH 15:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.