tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:25 OAK → 10:59 HNL
    AS 847 · Alaska · 5h 34m · 87% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:31 HNL → 13:15 OGG
    AS 1106 · Alaska · 44m · 70% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 50mOAK 08:25 to OGG 13:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.