tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 69%

  1. 08:25 OAK → 10:59 HNL
    AS 847 · Alaska · 5h 34m · 87% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:24 HNL → 15:08 OGG
    AS 1126 · Alaska · 44m · 72% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip9h 43mOAK 08:25 to OGG 15:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.