tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 95%

  1. 08:25 OAK → 10:59 HNL
    AS 847 · Alaska · 5h 34m · 87% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:00 HNL → 14:50 OGG
    WN 1931 · Southwest · 50m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip9h 25mOAK 08:25 to OGG 14:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.