tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Long Beach → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:00 LGB → 09:50 HNL
    AS 869 · Alaska · 5h 50m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:24 HNL → 12:07 OGG
    AS 1086 · Alaska · 43m · 75% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Long Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 07mLGB 07:00 to OGG 12:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.