tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Long Beach → San Francisco via Honolulu: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:00 LGB → 09:50 HNL
    AS 869 · Alaska · 5h 50m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:20 HNL → 20:28 SFO
    AS 812 · Alaska · 5h 08m · 66% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 13h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip13h 28mLGB 07:00 to SFO 20:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.